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Australian Budget – putting popularity ahead of austerity 04 May 2016
> While the iron ore price has improved, the budget deficit is now projected to be $39.9bn in 2016 - 17 (up from $35bn in last year’s budget). Return to surplus is still not expected until 2020 - 21. > Modest personal and corporate income tax cuts are largely offset by superannuation reforms & higher tobacco excise. There is insignificant fiscal stimulus. > The Budget may provide a small boo st to confidence. > Expect minimal impact on the share market , but maybe a small boost to discretionary retail shares . more..
The 2016 Australian Federal Election and Investors 10 May 2016
Historically election campaigns result in a period of uncertainty which have seen weak gains on average for the Australian share market followed by a bounce once the election is out of the way. The starker choice at this election between smaller government, lower taxes and mild economic reform under the Coalition, and larger government, higher taxes and more intervention in the economy under Labor suggest greater uncertainty this time around. To maintain decent growth in living standards Australia needs to see a return to a productivity enhancing reform agenda. It’s unclear this election will deliver that. more..